Asan Institute for Policy Studies: Elite Cohesion: Probability of a Power Struggle among the Elite
Without Kim Jong-il rule, the personality cult will be phased out and some long-restrained opinion and behavior will gradually burst out, so the 3-4 year after Kim Jong-il will be a very dangerous period. But Kim Jong-un and his family will regain power and order after during that period. He will try to re-establish the personality cult again, however, less and less people will continue to believe a mystified Kim Jong-un. Many people, including the military people, doubt the legitimacy of the hereditary succession for three generations and particularly the qualification of Kim Jong-un.